Tianyu Shen

Vienna Institute of Demography, Austrian Academy of Sciences

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Tianyu.Shen@oeaw.ac.at

Dominikanerbastei 16

1010 Vienna, Austria

I’m a postdoc researcher at the VID. I completed my doctoral degree in 2025 at the Australian National University with the dissertation on “Living Longer and Healthier? An Advancement of Methodology and Understanding on Health Expectancy”. My research centres on the analysis of social inequalities in health and multistate modelling to capture population dynamics.

I’ve also done some consulting work for the government on population projections, like “ACT population projections” and “ACT School enrollment projection”. I’m also interested in different indirect estimation methods.

news

Jun 16, 2025 Our new paper: The role of education composition in shaping the burden of obesity and diabetes in Indonesia: a microsimulation-based projection study published in Population Health Metrics
May 14, 2025 Presented our paper on Educational Inequalities in Healthy Longevity: An Intersectional Analysis of Race in the United States at REVES Conference 2025 in Tampere, Finland
Apr 11, 2025 Presented our paper on Improving Mortality Estimation in Data-Scarce Context: Leveraging Population Change Information at Population Association of America 2025 Annual Meeting in Washington DC

selected publications

  1. AJE
    Changing educational attainment as a driver of cohort changes in healthy longevity: a decomposition analysis of US birth cohorts
    Tianyu Shen, Alyson Van Raalte, and Collin F. Payne
    American Journal of Epidemiology, Mar 2025.
  2. Modeling Disability-Free Life Expectancy With Duration Dependence: A Research Note on the Bias in the Markov Assumption
    Tianyu Shen, and James O’Donnell
    Demography, Dec 2024. Code can be found here.
  3. SMR
    Dynamics of Health Expectancy: An Introduction to the Multiple Multistate Method (MMM)
    Tianyu Shen, Collin F. Payne, and Maria Jahromi
    Sociological Methods & Research, Sep 2024. Code can be found here.
  4. Decomposition of Differentials in Health Expectancies From Multistate Life Tables: A Research Note
    Tianyu Shen, Tim Riffe, Collin F. Payne, and Vladimir Canudas-Romo
    Demography, Nov 2023. Code can be found here.
  5. The Components of Change in Population Growth Rates
    Vladimir Canudas-Romo, Tianyu Shen, and Collin F. Payne
    Demography, Apr 2022. Interactive results can be found here.